Risk Factors

A healthier America depends on numerous factors, including making changes in lifestyle and health-related behavior and treatments. The risk factor categories below show the baseline projected data for each category and the projected data to achieve the optimistic course in the study.

Obesity Smoking Alcohol Overweight Physical Activity Cholesterol Air Quality Illicit Drug Use

Obesity

Represents percentage of total population that is obese (As determined by BMI greater than or equal to 30).

1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

United States Baseline 10.22% 9.80% 10.60% 11.54% 11.80% 13.40% 12.81% 13.71% 14.42% 15.30% 16.38% 17.07% 18.09% 18.40% 19.89% 20.60% 20.38% 21.58% 21.92% 22.81% 23.50% 24.00% 24.60% 25.30% 25.80% 26.30% 26.70% 27.10% 27.40% 27.60% 27.75% 27.85% 27.95% 28.05% 28.15% 28.25% 28.35% 28.45% 28.55% 28.66%

Optimistic 10.22% 9.80% 10.60% 11.54% 11.80% 13.40% 12.81% 13.71% 14.42% 15.30% 16.38% 17.07% 18.09% 18.40% 19.89% 20.60% 20.38% 21.58% 21.92% 22.81% 23.50% 24.00% 24.40% 24.80% 25.20% 25.60% 25.90% 26.21% 26.00% 25.70% 25.20% 24.70% 24.00% 23.10% 22.20% 21.40% 20.70% 20.00% 19.75% 19.38%

Alabama Baseline 11.59% 11.11% 12.02% 13.08% 13.38% 15.19% 14.53% 15.55% 16.35% 17.35% 18.57% 19.35% 20.51% 20.86% 22.55% 23.35% 23.11% 24.46% 25.68% 28.39% 29.25% 29.87% 30.62% 31.49% 32.11% 32.73% 33.23% 33.73% 34.10% 34.35% 34.54% 34.66% 34.79% 34.91% 35.04% 35.16% 35.29% 35.41% 35.53% 35.67%

Optimistic 11.59% 11.11% 12.02% 13.08% 13.38% 15.19% 14.53% 15.55% 16.35% 17.35% 18.57% 19.35% 20.51% 20.86% 22.55% 23.35% 23.11% 24.46% 25.68% 28.39% 29.25% 29.87% 30.37% 30.87% 31.36% 31.86% 32.24% 32.62% 32.36% 31.99% 31.36% 30.74% 29.87% 28.75% 27.63% 26.64% 25.76% 24.89% 24.58% 24.12%

Alaska Baseline 10.46% 10.03% 10.85% 11.81% 12.08% 13.71% 13.11% 14.03% 14.76% 15.66% 16.76% 17.47% 18.51% 18.82% 20.35% 21.08% 20.86% 22.08% 23.40% 23.53% 24.25% 24.76% 25.38% 26.10% 26.62% 27.14% 27.55% 27.96% 28.27% 28.48% 28.63% 28.74% 28.84% 28.94% 29.05% 29.15% 29.25% 29.36% 29.46% 29.57%

Optimistic 10.46% 10.03% 10.85% 11.81% 12.08% 13.71% 13.11% 14.03% 14.76% 15.66% 16.76% 17.47% 18.51% 18.82% 20.35% 21.08% 20.86% 22.08% 23.40% 23.53% 24.25% 24.76% 25.18% 25.59% 26.00% 26.41% 26.72% 27.04% 26.83% 26.52% 26.00% 25.49% 24.76% 23.83% 22.91% 22.08% 21.36% 20.64% 20.38% 20.00%

Arizona Baseline 8.74% 8.38% 9.07% 9.87% 10.09% 11.46% 10.96% 11.73% 12.33% 13.09% 14.00% 14.60% 15.47% 15.73% 17.01% 17.61% 17.43% 18.45% 19.62% 20.14% 20.75% 21.19% 21.72% 22.34% 22.78% 23.22% 23.58% 23.93% 24.19% 24.37% 24.50% 24.59% 24.68% 24.77% 24.86% 24.94% 25.03% 25.12% 25.21% 25.31%

Optimistic 8.74% 8.38% 9.07% 9.87% 10.09% 11.46% 10.96% 11.73% 12.33% 13.09% 14.00% 14.60% 15.47% 15.73% 17.01% 17.61% 17.43% 18.45% 19.62% 20.14% 20.75% 21.19% 21.54% 21.90% 22.25% 22.60% 22.87% 23.14% 22.96% 22.69% 22.25% 21.81% 21.19% 20.40% 19.60% 18.90% 18.28% 17.66% 17.44% 17.11%

Arkansas Baseline 10.62% 10.18% 11.01% 11.99% 12.26% 13.92% 13.31% 14.24% 14.98% 15.89% 17.01% 17.73% 18.79% 19.11% 20.66% 21.39% 21.17% 22.41% 23.74% 25.15% 25.92% 26.47% 27.13% 27.90% 28.45% 29.00% 29.44% 29.89% 30.22% 30.44% 30.60% 30.71% 30.82% 30.93% 31.04% 31.15% 31.26% 31.37% 31.49% 31.61%

Optimistic 10.62% 10.18% 11.01% 11.99% 12.26% 13.92% 13.31% 14.24% 14.98% 15.89% 17.01% 17.73% 18.79% 19.11% 20.66% 21.39% 21.17% 22.41% 23.74% 25.15% 25.92% 26.47% 26.91% 27.35% 27.79% 28.23% 28.56% 28.90% 28.67% 28.34% 27.79% 27.24% 26.47% 25.47% 24.48% 23.60% 22.83% 22.06% 21.78% 21.37%

California Baseline 10.37% 9.94% 10.76% 11.71% 11.97% 13.60% 13.00% 13.91% 14.63% 15.52% 16.61% 17.32% 18.35% 18.66% 20.18% 20.90% 20.68% 21.89% 19.21% 23.17% 23.88% 24.39% 24.99% 25.71% 26.21% 26.72% 27.13% 27.53% 27.84% 28.04% 28.20% 28.30% 28.40% 28.50% 28.60% 28.70% 28.81% 28.91% 29.01% 29.12%

Optimistic 10.37% 9.94% 10.76% 11.71% 11.97% 13.60% 13.00% 13.91% 14.63% 15.52% 16.61% 17.32% 18.35% 18.66% 20.18% 20.90% 20.68% 21.89% 19.21% 23.17% 23.88% 24.39% 24.79% 25.20% 25.60% 26.01% 26.32% 26.63% 26.42% 26.11% 25.60% 25.10% 24.39% 23.47% 22.56% 21.74% 21.03% 20.32% 20.07% 19.69%

Colorado Baseline 7.08% 6.78% 7.34% 7.99% 8.17% 9.28% 8.87% 9.49% 9.98% 10.59% 11.34% 11.82% 12.52% 12.73% 13.77% 14.26% 14.11% 14.94% 16.51% 15.99% 16.47% 16.82% 17.24% 17.73% 18.08% 18.44% 18.72% 19.00% 19.21% 19.35% 19.45% 19.52% 19.59% 19.66% 19.73% 19.80% 19.87% 19.94% 20.01% 20.09%

Optimistic 7.08% 6.78% 7.34% 7.99% 8.17% 9.28% 8.87% 9.49% 9.98% 10.59% 11.34% 11.82% 12.52% 12.73% 13.77% 14.26% 14.11% 14.94% 16.51% 15.99% 16.47% 16.82% 17.10% 17.38% 17.66% 17.94% 18.16% 18.37% 18.23% 18.01% 17.66% 17.31% 16.82% 16.19% 15.56% 15.00% 14.51% 14.02% 13.84% 13.58%

Connecticut Baseline 8.50% 8.15% 8.82% 9.60% 9.81% 11.14% 10.65% 11.40% 11.99% 12.72% 13.62% 14.19% 15.04% 15.30% 16.54% 17.13% 16.95% 17.94% 18.03% 19.12% 19.70% 20.12% 20.62% 21.21% 21.63% 22.04% 22.38% 22.71% 22.97% 23.13% 23.26% 23.34% 23.43% 23.51% 23.59% 23.68% 23.76% 23.85% 23.93% 24.02%

Optimistic 8.50% 8.15% 8.82% 9.60% 9.81% 11.14% 10.65% 11.40% 11.99% 12.72% 13.62% 14.19% 15.04% 15.30% 16.54% 17.13% 16.95% 17.94% 18.03% 19.12% 19.70% 20.12% 20.45% 20.79% 21.12% 21.46% 21.71% 21.97% 21.79% 21.54% 21.12% 20.70% 20.12% 19.36% 18.61% 17.94% 17.35% 16.76% 16.55% 16.24%

Delaware Baseline 9.84% 9.43% 10.21% 11.11% 11.36% 12.90% 12.33% 13.20% 13.88% 14.73% 15.76% 16.43% 17.41% 17.71% 19.15% 19.83% 19.62% 20.77% 22.40% 23.99% 24.72% 25.24% 25.87% 26.61% 27.14% 27.66% 28.08% 28.50% 28.82% 29.03% 29.19% 29.29% 29.40% 29.50% 29.61% 29.71% 29.82% 29.92% 30.03% 30.14%

Optimistic 9.84% 9.43% 10.21% 11.11% 11.36% 12.90% 12.33% 13.20% 13.88% 14.73% 15.76% 16.43% 17.41% 17.71% 19.15% 19.83% 19.62% 20.77% 22.40% 23.99% 24.72% 25.24% 25.66% 26.08% 26.50% 26.93% 27.24% 27.57% 27.35% 27.03% 26.50% 25.98% 25.24% 24.30% 23.35% 22.51% 21.77% 21.04% 20.77% 20.38%

District of Columbia Baseline 9.50% 9.10% 9.85% 10.72% 10.97% 12.45% 11.91% 12.74% 13.40% 14.22% 15.22% 15.86% 16.81% 17.09% 18.48% 19.14% 18.94% 20.05% 20.68% 20.28% 20.90% 21.34% 21.88% 22.50% 22.95% 23.39% 23.75% 24.10% 24.37% 24.55% 24.68% 24.77% 24.86% 24.95% 25.04% 25.12% 25.21% 25.30% 25.39% 25.49%

Optimistic 9.50% 9.10% 9.85% 10.72% 10.97% 12.45% 11.91% 12.74% 13.40% 14.22% 15.22% 15.86% 16.81% 17.09% 18.48% 19.14% 18.94% 20.05% 20.68% 20.28% 20.90% 21.34% 21.70% 22.06% 22.41% 22.77% 23.03% 23.31% 23.12% 22.86% 22.41% 21.97% 21.34% 20.54% 19.74% 19.03% 18.41% 17.79% 17.56% 17.24%

Florida Baseline 8.90% 8.53% 9.23% 10.04% 10.27% 11.66% 11.15% 11.93% 12.55% 13.32% 14.25% 14.86% 15.74% 16.01% 17.31% 17.93% 17.74% 18.78% 19.39% 19.86% 20.46% 20.90% 21.42% 22.03% 22.47% 22.90% 23.25% 23.60% 23.86% 24.03% 24.16% 24.25% 24.34% 24.42% 24.51% 24.60% 24.69% 24.77% 24.86% 24.96%

Optimistic 8.90% 8.53% 9.23% 10.04% 10.27% 11.66% 11.15% 11.93% 12.55% 13.32% 14.25% 14.86% 15.74% 16.01% 17.31% 17.93% 17.74% 18.78% 19.39% 19.86% 20.46% 20.90% 21.25% 21.59% 21.94% 22.29% 22.55% 22.82% 22.64% 22.38% 21.94% 21.51% 20.90% 20.11% 19.33% 18.63% 18.02% 17.41% 17.20% 16.87%

Georgia Baseline 10.75% 10.30% 11.15% 12.14% 12.41% 14.09% 13.48% 14.42% 15.17% 16.09% 17.22% 17.95% 19.02% 19.35% 20.92% 21.66% 21.44% 22.69% 23.46% 25.18% 25.95% 26.50% 27.16% 27.94% 28.49% 29.04% 29.48% 29.92% 30.25% 30.47% 30.64% 30.75% 30.86% 30.97% 31.08% 31.19% 31.30% 31.41% 31.52% 31.65%

Optimistic 10.75% 10.30% 11.15% 12.14% 12.41% 14.09% 13.48% 14.42% 15.17% 16.09% 17.22% 17.95% 19.02% 19.35% 20.92% 21.66% 21.44% 22.69% 23.46% 25.18% 25.95% 26.50% 26.94% 27.38% 27.82% 28.27% 28.60% 28.94% 28.71% 28.38% 27.82% 27.27% 26.50% 25.51% 24.51% 23.63% 22.86% 22.08% 21.81% 21.40%

Hawaii Baseline 8.48% 8.13% 8.80% 9.58% 9.79% 11.12% 10.63% 11.38% 11.97% 12.70% 13.59% 14.16% 15.01% 15.26% 16.50% 17.09% 16.91% 17.90% 17.12% 16.41% 16.91% 17.27% 17.70% 18.21% 18.57% 18.93% 19.21% 19.50% 19.72% 19.86% 19.97% 20.04% 20.11% 20.19% 20.26% 20.33% 20.40% 20.47% 20.55% 20.62%

Optimistic 8.48% 8.13% 8.80% 9.58% 9.79% 11.12% 10.63% 11.38% 11.97% 12.70% 13.59% 14.16% 15.01% 15.26% 16.50% 17.09% 16.91% 17.90% 17.12% 16.41% 16.91% 17.27% 17.56% 17.85% 18.13% 18.42% 18.64% 18.86% 18.71% 18.49% 18.13% 17.78% 17.27% 16.62% 15.98% 15.40% 14.90% 14.39% 14.21% 13.95%

Idaho Baseline 9.73% 9.32% 10.09% 10.98% 11.23% 12.75% 12.19% 13.05% 13.73% 14.56% 15.58% 16.24% 17.21% 17.51% 18.93% 19.60% 19.40% 20.53% 20.24% 21.80% 22.46% 22.94% 23.51% 24.18% 24.66% 25.14% 25.52% 25.90% 26.19% 26.38% 26.52% 26.62% 26.71% 26.81% 26.90% 27.00% 27.10% 27.19% 27.29% 27.39%

Optimistic 9.73% 9.32% 10.09% 10.98% 11.23% 12.75% 12.19% 13.05% 13.73% 14.56% 15.58% 16.24% 17.21% 17.51% 18.93% 19.60% 19.40% 20.53% 20.24% 21.80% 22.46% 22.94% 23.32% 23.70% 24.08% 24.47% 24.75% 25.05% 24.85% 24.56% 24.08% 23.61% 22.94% 22.08% 21.22% 20.45% 19.78% 19.11% 18.88% 18.52%

Illinois Baseline 9.97% 9.56% 10.34% 11.26% 11.51% 13.07% 12.50% 13.38% 14.07% 14.92% 15.97% 16.65% 17.64% 17.94% 19.40% 20.09% 19.88% 21.04% 21.94% 23.69% 24.41% 24.93% 25.56% 26.28% 26.80% 27.32% 27.74% 28.15% 28.46% 28.67% 28.83% 28.93% 29.04% 29.14% 29.24% 29.35% 29.45% 29.56% 29.66% 29.77%

Optimistic 9.97% 9.56% 10.34% 11.26% 11.51% 13.07% 12.50% 13.38% 14.07% 14.92% 15.97% 16.65% 17.64% 17.94% 19.40% 20.09% 19.88% 21.04% 21.94% 23.69% 24.41% 24.93% 25.35% 25.76% 26.18% 26.60% 26.91% 27.23% 27.01% 26.70% 26.18% 25.66% 24.93% 24.00% 23.06% 22.23% 21.50% 20.78% 20.52% 20.13%

Indiana Baseline 11.63% 11.15% 12.06% 13.13% 13.43% 15.25% 14.58% 15.60% 16.41% 17.41% 18.63% 19.42% 20.58% 20.93% 22.63% 23.43% 23.19% 24.55% 24.08% 25.97% 26.76% 27.33% 28.02% 28.81% 29.38% 29.95% 30.41% 30.86% 31.20% 31.43% 31.60% 31.72% 31.83% 31.94% 32.06% 32.17% 32.29% 32.40% 32.51% 32.64%

Optimistic 11.63% 11.15% 12.06% 13.13% 13.43% 15.25% 14.58% 15.60% 16.41% 17.41% 18.63% 19.42% 20.58% 20.93% 22.63% 23.43% 23.19% 24.55% 24.08% 25.97% 26.76% 27.33% 27.79% 28.24% 28.70% 29.15% 29.50% 29.85% 29.61% 29.27% 28.70% 28.13% 27.33% 26.31% 25.28% 24.37% 23.57% 22.78% 22.49% 22.07%

Iowa Baseline 10.68% 10.24% 11.08% 12.06% 12.33% 14.00% 13.39% 14.33% 15.07% 15.99% 17.11% 17.84% 18.90% 19.22% 20.78% 21.52% 21.30% 22.55% 22.86% 23.93% 24.66% 25.19% 25.82% 26.55% 27.07% 27.60% 28.02% 28.44% 28.75% 28.96% 29.12% 29.23% 29.33% 29.44% 29.54% 29.65% 29.75% 29.86% 29.96% 30.08%

Optimistic 10.68% 10.24% 11.08% 12.06% 12.33% 14.00% 13.39% 14.33% 15.07% 15.99% 17.11% 17.84% 18.90% 19.22% 20.78% 21.52% 21.30% 22.55% 22.86% 23.93% 24.66% 25.19% 25.61% 26.03% 26.44% 26.86% 27.18% 27.50% 27.28% 26.97% 26.44% 25.92% 25.19% 24.24% 23.30% 22.46% 21.72% 20.99% 20.73% 20.34%

Kansas Baseline 10.23% 9.81% 10.61% 11.55% 11.81% 13.41% 12.83% 13.73% 14.44% 15.32% 16.39% 17.09% 18.10% 18.41% 19.91% 20.62% 20.40% 21.59% 22.75% 22.65% 23.34% 23.83% 24.43% 25.12% 25.62% 26.12% 26.51% 26.91% 27.21% 27.41% 27.56% 27.66% 27.76% 27.85% 27.95% 28.05% 28.15% 28.25% 28.35% 28.46%

Optimistic 10.23% 9.81% 10.61% 11.55% 11.81% 13.41% 12.83% 13.73% 14.44% 15.32% 16.39% 17.09% 18.10% 18.41% 19.91% 20.62% 20.40% 21.59% 22.75% 22.65% 23.34% 23.83% 24.23% 24.63% 25.02% 25.42% 25.72% 26.03% 25.82% 25.52% 25.02% 24.53% 23.83% 22.94% 22.05% 21.25% 20.56% 19.86% 19.61% 19.25%

Kentucky Baseline 11.68% 11.19% 12.11% 13.18% 13.49% 15.31% 14.64% 15.67% 16.48% 17.48% 18.71% 19.50% 20.67% 21.02% 22.72% 23.53% 23.29% 24.65% 24.39% 25.65% 26.43% 26.99% 27.66% 28.45% 29.01% 29.57% 30.02% 30.47% 30.81% 31.04% 31.20% 31.32% 31.43% 31.54% 31.65% 31.77% 31.88% 31.99% 32.10% 32.23%

Optimistic 11.68% 11.19% 12.11% 13.18% 13.49% 15.31% 14.64% 15.67% 16.48% 17.48% 18.71% 19.50% 20.67% 21.02% 22.72% 23.53% 23.29% 24.65% 24.39% 25.65% 26.43% 26.99% 27.44% 27.89% 28.34% 28.79% 29.12% 29.47% 29.24% 28.90% 28.34% 27.77% 26.99% 25.98% 24.96% 24.06% 23.28% 22.49% 22.21% 21.79%

Louisiana Baseline 11.38% 10.91% 11.80% 12.84% 13.14% 14.92% 14.26% 15.26% 16.05% 17.03% 18.23% 19.00% 20.13% 20.47% 22.14% 22.93% 22.69% 24.01% 25.51% 24.81% 25.57% 26.11% 26.76% 27.53% 28.07% 28.61% 29.05% 29.48% 29.81% 30.03% 30.19% 30.30% 30.41% 30.52% 30.63% 30.73% 30.84% 30.95% 31.06% 31.18%

Optimistic 11.38% 10.91% 11.80% 12.84% 13.14% 14.92% 14.26% 15.26% 16.05% 17.03% 18.23% 19.00% 20.13% 20.47% 22.14% 22.93% 22.69% 24.01% 25.51% 24.81% 25.57% 26.11% 26.55% 26.98% 27.42% 27.85% 28.18% 28.52% 28.29% 27.96% 27.42% 26.87% 26.11% 25.13% 24.15% 23.28% 22.52% 21.76% 21.49% 21.08%

Maine Baseline 9.22% 8.84% 9.57% 10.41% 10.65% 12.09% 11.56% 12.38% 13.02% 13.81% 14.78% 15.40% 16.32% 16.60% 17.95% 18.59% 18.39% 19.47% 20.66% 19.93% 20.54% 20.98% 21.50% 22.11% 22.55% 22.99% 23.34% 23.68% 23.95% 24.12% 24.25% 24.34% 24.43% 24.51% 24.60% 24.69% 24.78% 24.86% 24.95% 25.05%

Optimistic 9.22% 8.84% 9.57% 10.41% 10.65% 12.09% 11.56% 12.38% 13.02% 13.81% 14.78% 15.40% 16.32% 16.60% 17.95% 18.59% 18.39% 19.47% 20.66% 19.93% 20.54% 20.98% 21.32% 21.67% 22.02% 22.37% 22.64% 22.91% 22.72% 22.46% 22.02% 21.59% 20.98% 20.19% 19.40% 18.70% 18.09% 17.48% 17.26% 16.94%

Maryland Baseline 9.72% 9.31% 10.08% 10.97% 11.22% 12.74% 12.18% 13.03% 13.71% 14.54% 15.56% 16.22% 17.19% 17.48% 18.90% 19.58% 19.37% 20.50% 19.36% 21.87% 22.53% 23.01% 23.59% 24.26% 24.74% 25.22% 25.60% 25.98% 26.27% 26.46% 26.61% 26.70% 26.80% 26.89% 26.99% 27.08% 27.18% 27.28% 27.37% 27.48%

Optimistic 9.72% 9.31% 10.08% 10.97% 11.22% 12.74% 12.18% 13.03% 13.71% 14.54% 15.56% 16.22% 17.19% 17.48% 18.90% 19.58% 19.37% 20.50% 19.36% 21.87% 22.53% 23.01% 23.39% 23.78% 24.16% 24.54% 24.83% 25.13% 24.93% 24.64% 24.16% 23.68% 23.01% 22.15% 21.28% 20.52% 19.85% 19.18% 18.94% 18.58%

Massachusetts Baseline 7.86% 7.54% 8.15% 8.87% 9.08% 10.31% 9.85% 10.55% 11.09% 11.77% 12.59% 13.13% 13.91% 14.15% 15.29% 15.84% 15.68% 16.59% 18.30% 16.78% 17.29% 17.66% 18.10% 18.62% 18.99% 19.35% 19.65% 19.94% 20.16% 20.31% 20.42% 20.50% 20.57% 20.64% 20.72% 20.79% 20.86% 20.94% 21.01% 21.09%

Optimistic 7.86% 7.54% 8.15% 8.87% 9.08% 10.31% 9.85% 10.55% 11.09% 11.77% 12.59% 13.13% 13.91% 14.15% 15.29% 15.84% 15.68% 16.59% 18.30% 16.78% 17.29% 17.66% 17.96% 18.25% 18.55% 18.84% 19.06% 19.29% 19.13% 18.91% 18.55% 18.18% 17.66% 17.00% 16.34% 15.75% 15.23% 14.72% 14.53% 14.26%

Michigan Baseline 11.83% 11.34% 12.27% 13.36% 13.66% 15.51% 14.83% 15.87% 16.70% 17.71% 18.95% 19.76% 20.94% 21.29% 23.02% 23.84% 23.60% 24.97% 25.38% 25.16% 25.92% 26.48% 27.14% 27.91% 28.46% 29.01% 29.45% 29.90% 30.23% 30.45% 30.61% 30.72% 30.83% 30.94% 31.05% 31.16% 31.28% 31.39% 31.50% 31.62%

Optimistic 11.83% 11.34% 12.27% 13.36% 13.66% 15.51% 14.83% 15.87% 16.70% 17.71% 18.95% 19.76% 20.94% 21.29% 23.02% 23.84% 23.60% 24.97% 25.38% 25.16% 25.92% 26.48% 26.92% 27.36% 27.80% 28.24% 28.57% 28.91% 28.68% 28.35% 27.80% 27.25% 26.48% 25.48% 24.49% 23.61% 22.84% 22.06% 21.79% 21.38%

Minnesota Baseline 9.42% 9.03% 9.77% 10.63% 10.88% 12.35% 11.81% 12.64% 13.29% 14.10% 15.09% 15.73% 16.67% 16.95% 18.33% 18.98% 18.78% 19.88% 22.36% 22.96% 23.66% 24.16% 24.76% 25.47% 25.97% 26.47% 26.88% 27.28% 27.58% 27.78% 27.93% 28.03% 28.13% 28.24% 28.34% 28.44% 28.54% 28.64% 28.74% 28.85%

Optimistic 9.42% 9.03% 9.77% 10.63% 10.88% 12.35% 11.81% 12.64% 13.29% 14.10% 15.09% 15.73% 16.67% 16.95% 18.33% 18.98% 18.78% 19.88% 22.36% 22.96% 23.66% 24.16% 24.56% 24.96% 25.37% 25.77% 26.07% 26.38% 26.17% 25.87% 25.37% 24.86% 24.16% 23.25% 22.35% 21.54% 20.84% 20.13% 19.88% 19.51%

Mississippi Baseline 12.53% 12.01% 13.00% 14.15% 14.47% 16.43% 15.71% 16.81% 17.68% 18.76% 20.08% 20.93% 22.18% 22.55% 24.38% 25.25% 24.99% 26.45% 26.81% 28.15% 29.01% 29.62% 30.36% 31.23% 31.84% 32.46% 32.96% 33.45% 33.82% 34.07% 34.25% 34.37% 34.50% 34.62% 34.75% 34.87% 34.99% 35.12% 35.24% 35.37%

Optimistic 12.53% 12.01% 13.00% 14.15% 14.47% 16.43% 15.71% 16.81% 17.68% 18.76% 20.08% 20.93% 22.18% 22.55% 24.38% 25.25% 24.99% 26.45% 26.81% 28.15% 29.01% 29.62% 30.12% 30.61% 31.10% 31.60% 31.97% 32.35% 32.09% 31.72% 31.10% 30.49% 29.62% 28.51% 27.40% 26.41% 25.55% 24.69% 24.38% 23.92%

Missouri Baseline 10.98% 10.53% 11.39% 12.40% 12.68% 14.40% 13.77% 14.73% 15.50% 16.44% 17.59% 18.34% 19.43% 19.76% 21.37% 22.13% 21.90% 23.18% 23.18% 23.59% 24.31% 24.83% 25.45% 26.17% 26.69% 27.20% 27.62% 28.03% 28.34% 28.55% 28.70% 28.81% 28.91% 29.01% 29.12% 29.22% 29.32% 29.43% 29.53% 29.65%

Optimistic 10.98% 10.53% 11.39% 12.40% 12.68% 14.40% 13.77% 14.73% 15.50% 16.44% 17.59% 18.34% 19.43% 19.76% 21.37% 22.13% 21.90% 23.18% 23.18% 23.59% 24.31% 24.83% 25.24% 25.65% 26.07% 26.48% 26.79% 27.11% 26.89% 26.58% 26.07% 25.55% 24.83% 23.89% 22.96% 22.14% 21.41% 20.69% 20.43% 20.05%

Montana Baseline 8.91% 8.54% 9.24% 10.05% 10.28% 11.67% 11.16% 11.95% 12.57% 13.33% 14.27% 14.87% 15.76% 16.03% 17.33% 17.95% 17.76% 18.80% 18.69% 18.78% 19.36% 19.77% 20.26% 20.84% 21.25% 21.66% 21.99% 22.32% 22.57% 22.73% 22.86% 22.94% 23.02% 23.10% 23.19% 23.27% 23.35% 23.43% 23.52% 23.61%

Optimistic 8.91% 8.54% 9.24% 10.05% 10.28% 11.67% 11.16% 11.95% 12.57% 13.33% 14.27% 14.87% 15.76% 16.03% 17.33% 17.95% 17.76% 18.80% 18.69% 18.78% 19.36% 19.77% 20.10% 20.43% 20.76% 21.09% 21.33% 21.59% 21.42% 21.17% 20.76% 20.34% 19.77% 19.03% 18.29% 17.63% 17.05% 16.47% 16.27% 15.96%

Nebraska Baseline 9.81% 9.40% 10.17% 11.07% 11.32% 12.86% 12.29% 13.16% 13.84% 14.68% 15.71% 16.38% 17.35% 17.65% 19.08% 19.76% 19.56% 20.70% 23.19% 23.86% 24.58% 25.10% 25.73% 26.46% 26.99% 27.51% 27.93% 28.35% 28.66% 28.87% 29.03% 29.13% 29.24% 29.34% 29.45% 29.55% 29.66% 29.76% 29.86% 29.98%

Optimistic 9.81% 9.40% 10.17% 11.07% 11.32% 12.86% 12.29% 13.16% 13.84% 14.68% 15.71% 16.38% 17.35% 17.65% 19.08% 19.76% 19.56% 20.70% 23.19% 23.86% 24.58% 25.10% 25.52% 25.94% 26.36% 26.78% 27.09% 27.42% 27.20% 26.88% 26.36% 25.84% 25.10% 24.16% 23.22% 22.39% 21.65% 20.92% 20.66% 20.27%

Nevada Baseline 9.24% 8.85% 9.58% 10.43% 10.66% 12.11% 11.58% 12.39% 13.03% 13.82% 14.79% 15.42% 16.34% 16.62% 17.97% 18.61% 18.42% 19.49% 21.55% 21.18% 21.82% 22.29% 22.84% 23.49% 23.96% 24.42% 24.79% 25.17% 25.45% 25.63% 25.77% 25.86% 25.96% 26.05% 26.14% 26.23% 26.33% 26.42% 26.51% 26.62%

Optimistic 9.24% 8.85% 9.58% 10.43% 10.66% 12.11% 11.58% 12.39% 13.03% 13.82% 14.79% 15.42% 16.34% 16.62% 17.97% 18.61% 18.42% 19.49% 21.55% 21.18% 21.82% 22.29% 22.66% 23.03% 23.40% 23.77% 24.05% 24.34% 24.14% 23.87% 23.40% 22.94% 22.29% 21.45% 20.62% 19.87% 19.22% 18.57% 18.34% 18.00%

New Hampshire Baseline 9.18% 8.80% 9.52% 10.36% 10.60% 12.04% 11.51% 12.32% 12.95% 13.74% 14.71% 15.33% 16.25% 16.52% 17.86% 18.50% 18.31% 19.38% 17.88% 20.21% 20.82% 21.26% 21.79% 22.42% 22.86% 23.30% 23.66% 24.01% 24.28% 24.45% 24.59% 24.67% 24.76% 24.85% 24.94% 25.03% 25.12% 25.21% 25.29% 25.39%

Optimistic 9.18% 8.80% 9.52% 10.36% 10.60% 12.04% 11.51% 12.32% 12.95% 13.74% 14.71% 15.33% 16.25% 16.52% 17.86% 18.50% 18.31% 19.38% 17.88% 20.21% 20.82% 21.26% 21.62% 21.97% 22.33% 22.68% 22.95% 23.22% 23.04% 22.77% 22.33% 21.88% 21.26% 20.47% 19.67% 18.96% 18.34% 17.72% 17.50% 17.17%

New Jersey Baseline 9.30% 8.91% 9.64% 10.50% 10.74% 12.19% 11.65% 12.47% 13.12% 13.92% 14.89% 15.53% 16.45% 16.73% 18.09% 18.73% 18.54% 19.62% 19.00% 20.07% 20.68% 21.12% 21.65% 22.27% 22.71% 23.15% 23.50% 23.85% 24.12% 24.29% 24.42% 24.51% 24.60% 24.69% 24.78% 24.86% 24.95% 25.04% 25.13% 25.22%

Optimistic 9.30% 8.91% 9.64% 10.50% 10.74% 12.19% 11.65% 12.47% 13.12% 13.92% 14.89% 15.53% 16.45% 16.73% 18.09% 18.73% 18.54% 19.62% 19.00% 20.07% 20.68% 21.12% 21.47% 21.83% 22.18% 22.53% 22.79% 23.07% 22.88% 22.62% 22.18% 21.74% 21.12% 20.33% 19.54% 18.83% 18.22% 17.60% 17.38% 17.06%

New Mexico Baseline 9.33% 8.94% 9.68% 10.53% 10.77% 12.23% 11.70% 12.52% 13.17% 13.97% 14.95% 15.58% 16.51% 16.79% 18.16% 18.80% 18.61% 19.69% 19.74% 20.25% 20.86% 21.31% 21.84% 22.46% 22.90% 23.35% 23.70% 24.06% 24.32% 24.50% 24.63% 24.72% 24.81% 24.90% 24.99% 25.08% 25.17% 25.26% 25.34% 25.44%

Optimistic 9.33% 8.94% 9.68% 10.53% 10.77% 12.23% 11.70% 12.52% 13.17% 13.97% 14.95% 15.58% 16.51% 16.79% 18.16% 18.80% 18.61% 19.69% 19.74% 20.25% 20.86% 21.31% 21.66% 22.02% 22.37% 22.73% 22.99% 23.27% 23.08% 22.81% 22.37% 21.93% 21.31% 20.51% 19.71% 19.00% 18.38% 17.75% 17.53% 17.20%

New York Baseline 9.62% 9.22% 9.98% 10.86% 11.11% 12.61% 12.06% 12.91% 13.57% 14.40% 15.41% 16.06% 17.02% 17.31% 18.72% 19.38% 19.18% 20.30% 20.60% 20.95% 21.59% 22.04% 22.60% 23.24% 23.70% 24.16% 24.52% 24.89% 25.17% 25.35% 25.49% 25.58% 25.67% 25.76% 25.86% 25.95% 26.04% 26.13% 26.22% 26.33%

Optimistic 9.62% 9.22% 9.98% 10.86% 11.11% 12.61% 12.06% 12.91% 13.57% 14.40% 15.41% 16.06% 17.02% 17.31% 18.72% 19.38% 19.18% 20.30% 20.60% 20.95% 21.59% 22.04% 22.41% 22.78% 23.15% 23.51% 23.79% 24.07% 23.88% 23.61% 23.15% 22.69% 22.04% 21.22% 20.39% 19.66% 19.01% 18.37% 18.14% 17.80%

North Carolina Baseline 10.84% 10.39% 11.24% 12.24% 12.52% 14.21% 13.59% 14.54% 15.30% 16.23% 17.37% 18.10% 19.18% 19.51% 21.09% 21.84% 21.62% 22.88% 23.54% 24.03% 24.76% 25.29% 25.92% 26.66% 27.19% 27.71% 28.13% 28.56% 28.87% 29.08% 29.24% 29.35% 29.45% 29.56% 29.66% 29.77% 29.87% 29.98% 30.08% 30.20%

Optimistic 10.84% 10.39% 11.24% 12.24% 12.52% 14.21% 13.59% 14.54% 15.30% 16.23% 17.37% 18.10% 19.18% 19.51% 21.09% 21.84% 21.62% 22.88% 23.54% 24.03% 24.76% 25.29% 25.71% 26.13% 26.55% 26.98% 27.29% 27.62% 27.40% 27.08% 26.55% 26.03% 25.29% 24.34% 23.39% 22.55% 21.81% 21.07% 20.81% 20.42%

North Dakota Baseline 9.65% 9.25% 10.01% 10.89% 11.14% 12.65% 12.09% 12.94% 13.61% 14.44% 15.45% 16.11% 17.07% 17.36% 18.77% 19.44% 19.24% 20.36% 23.41% 23.74% 24.46% 24.98% 25.61% 26.34% 26.86% 27.38% 27.79% 28.21% 28.52% 28.73% 28.89% 28.99% 29.09% 29.20% 29.30% 29.41% 29.51% 29.61% 29.72% 29.83%

Optimistic 9.65% 9.25% 10.01% 10.89% 11.14% 12.65% 12.09% 12.94% 13.61% 14.44% 15.45% 16.11% 17.07% 17.36% 18.77% 19.44% 19.24% 20.36% 23.41% 23.74% 24.46% 24.98% 25.40% 25.81% 26.23% 26.65% 26.96% 27.28% 27.06% 26.75% 26.23% 25.71% 24.98% 24.05% 23.11% 22.28% 21.55% 20.82% 20.56% 20.17%

Ohio Baseline 10.61% 10.17% 11.00% 11.98% 12.25% 13.91% 13.30% 14.23% 14.97% 15.88% 17.00% 17.72% 18.77% 19.09% 20.64% 21.38% 21.16% 22.39% 22.98% 24.86% 25.62% 26.17% 26.82% 27.58% 28.13% 28.67% 29.11% 29.55% 29.87% 30.09% 30.25% 30.36% 30.47% 30.58% 30.69% 30.80% 30.91% 31.02% 31.13% 31.25%

Optimistic 10.61% 10.17% 11.00% 11.98% 12.25% 13.91% 13.30% 14.23% 14.97% 15.88% 17.00% 17.72% 18.77% 19.09% 20.64% 21.38% 21.16% 22.39% 22.98% 24.86% 25.62% 26.17% 26.60% 27.04% 27.47% 27.91% 28.24% 28.58% 28.35% 28.02% 27.47% 26.93% 26.17% 25.19% 24.20% 23.33% 22.57% 21.81% 21.53% 21.13%

Oklahoma Baseline 10.72% 10.27% 11.12% 12.10% 12.38% 14.05% 13.44% 14.38% 15.12% 16.04% 17.17% 17.90% 18.97% 19.29% 20.85% 21.60% 21.37% 22.62% 22.88% 24.41% 25.15% 25.69% 26.33% 27.08% 27.62% 28.15% 28.58% 29.01% 29.33% 29.54% 29.70% 29.81% 29.92% 30.03% 30.13% 30.24% 30.35% 30.45% 30.56% 30.68%

Optimistic 10.72% 10.27% 11.12% 12.10% 12.38% 14.05% 13.44% 14.38% 15.12% 16.04% 17.17% 17.90% 18.97% 19.29% 20.85% 21.60% 21.37% 22.62% 22.88% 24.41% 25.15% 25.69% 26.12% 26.55% 26.97% 27.40% 27.72% 28.06% 27.83% 27.51% 26.97% 26.44% 25.69% 24.73% 23.76% 22.91% 22.16% 21.41% 21.14% 20.74%

Oregon Baseline 9.99% 9.57% 10.36% 11.27% 11.53% 13.09% 12.52% 13.40% 14.09% 14.95% 16.00% 16.68% 17.67% 17.97% 19.43% 20.13% 19.92% 21.08% 20.28% 21.51% 22.16% 22.63% 23.20% 23.86% 24.33% 24.80% 25.18% 25.56% 25.84% 26.03% 26.17% 26.27% 26.36% 26.45% 26.55% 26.64% 26.74% 26.83% 26.93% 27.03%

Optimistic 9.99% 9.57% 10.36% 11.27% 11.53% 13.09% 12.52% 13.40% 14.09% 14.95% 16.00% 16.68% 17.67% 17.97% 19.43% 20.13% 19.92% 21.08% 20.28% 21.51% 22.16% 22.63% 23.01% 23.39% 23.77% 24.14% 24.43% 24.72% 24.52% 24.24% 23.77% 23.30% 22.63% 21.79% 20.94% 20.18% 19.52% 18.86% 18.63% 18.28%

Pennsylvania Baseline 10.47% 10.04% 10.86% 11.82% 12.09% 13.73% 13.13% 14.05% 14.78% 15.68% 16.78% 17.49% 18.53% 18.85% 20.38% 21.10% 20.88% 22.10% 23.95% 23.84% 24.57% 25.09% 25.72% 26.45% 26.97% 27.50% 27.92% 28.33% 28.65% 28.86% 29.01% 29.12% 29.22% 29.33% 29.43% 29.54% 29.64% 29.75% 29.85% 29.96%

Optimistic 10.47% 10.04% 10.86% 11.82% 12.09% 13.73% 13.13% 14.05% 14.78% 15.68% 16.78% 17.49% 18.53% 18.85% 20.38% 21.10% 20.88% 22.10% 23.95% 23.84% 24.57% 25.09% 25.51% 25.93% 26.35% 26.77% 27.08% 27.40% 27.18% 26.87% 26.35% 25.82% 25.09% 24.15% 23.21% 22.37% 21.64% 20.91% 20.65% 20.26%

Rhode Island Baseline 8.39% 8.04% 8.70% 9.47% 9.69% 11.00% 10.52% 11.26% 11.84% 12.56% 13.44% 14.01% 14.85% 15.10% 16.33% 16.91% 16.73% 17.71% 18.51% 18.40% 18.96% 19.37% 19.85% 20.41% 20.82% 21.22% 21.54% 21.87% 22.11% 22.27% 22.39% 22.47% 22.55% 22.63% 22.71% 22.80% 22.88% 22.96% 23.04% 23.13%

Optimistic 8.39% 8.04% 8.70% 9.47% 9.69% 11.00% 10.52% 11.26% 11.84% 12.56% 13.44% 14.01% 14.85% 15.10% 16.33% 16.91% 16.73% 17.71% 18.51% 18.40% 18.96% 19.37% 19.69% 20.01% 20.33% 20.66% 20.90% 21.15% 20.98% 20.74% 20.33% 19.93% 19.37% 18.64% 17.91% 17.27% 16.70% 16.14% 15.94% 15.64%

South Carolina Baseline 10.65% 10.20% 11.04% 12.02% 12.29% 13.96% 13.34% 14.28% 15.02% 15.94% 17.05% 17.78% 18.84% 19.16% 20.71% 21.45% 21.23% 22.47% 25.78% 24.46% 25.20% 25.74% 26.38% 27.13% 27.67% 28.20% 28.63% 29.06% 29.38% 29.60% 29.76% 29.87% 29.97% 30.08% 30.19% 30.30% 30.40% 30.51% 30.62% 30.74%

Optimistic 10.65% 10.20% 11.04% 12.02% 12.29% 13.96% 13.34% 14.28% 15.02% 15.94% 17.05% 17.78% 18.84% 19.16% 20.71% 21.45% 21.23% 22.47% 25.78% 24.46% 25.20% 25.74% 26.17% 26.60% 27.03% 27.45% 27.78% 28.11% 27.88% 27.56% 27.03% 26.49% 25.74% 24.77% 23.81% 22.95% 22.20% 21.45% 21.18% 20.78%

South Dakota Baseline 10.03% 9.62% 10.41% 11.33% 11.59% 13.15% 12.58% 13.46% 14.16% 15.02% 16.07% 16.76% 17.76% 18.06% 19.52% 20.22% 20.01% 21.18% 21.20% 22.86% 23.55% 24.05% 24.66% 25.36% 25.86% 26.36% 26.76% 27.16% 27.46% 27.66% 27.81% 27.91% 28.01% 28.11% 28.21% 28.31% 28.41% 28.51% 28.61% 28.72%

Optimistic 10.03% 9.62% 10.41% 11.33% 11.59% 13.15% 12.58% 13.46% 14.16% 15.02% 16.07% 16.76% 17.76% 18.06% 19.52% 20.22% 20.01% 21.18% 21.20% 22.86% 23.55% 24.05% 24.45% 24.86% 25.26% 25.66% 25.96% 26.27% 26.06% 25.76% 25.26% 24.76% 24.05% 23.15% 22.25% 21.45% 20.75% 20.04% 19.79% 19.42%

Tennessee Baseline 11.11% 10.65% 11.52% 12.54% 12.83% 14.56% 13.93% 14.90% 15.68% 16.63% 17.80% 18.55% 19.66% 19.99% 21.62% 22.39% 22.15% 23.45% 24.55% 25.03% 25.79% 26.34% 27.00% 27.76% 28.31% 28.86% 29.30% 29.74% 30.07% 30.29% 30.45% 30.56% 30.67% 30.78% 30.89% 31.00% 31.11% 31.22% 31.33% 31.45%

Optimistic 11.11% 10.65% 11.52% 12.54% 12.83% 14.56% 13.93% 14.90% 15.68% 16.63% 17.80% 18.55% 19.66% 19.99% 21.62% 22.39% 22.15% 23.45% 24.55% 25.03% 25.79% 26.34% 26.78% 27.22% 27.66% 28.09% 28.42% 28.76% 28.53% 28.20% 27.66% 27.11% 26.34% 25.35% 24.36% 23.48% 22.72% 21.95% 21.67% 21.27%

Texas Baseline 11.65% 11.17% 12.09% 13.16% 13.46% 15.28% 14.61% 15.63% 16.44% 17.44% 18.67% 19.46% 20.62% 20.97% 22.67% 23.48% 23.24% 24.60% 25.48% 24.61% 25.36% 25.90% 26.54% 27.30% 27.84% 28.38% 28.81% 29.24% 29.56% 29.78% 29.94% 30.05% 30.16% 30.26% 30.37% 30.48% 30.59% 30.70% 30.80% 30.92%

Optimistic 11.65% 11.17% 12.09% 13.16% 13.46% 15.28% 14.61% 15.63% 16.44% 17.44% 18.67% 19.46% 20.62% 20.97% 22.67% 23.48% 23.24% 24.60% 25.48% 24.61% 25.36% 25.90% 26.33% 26.76% 27.19% 27.62% 27.95% 28.28% 28.05% 27.73% 27.19% 26.65% 25.90% 24.92% 23.95% 23.09% 22.33% 21.58% 21.31% 20.91%

Utah Baseline 9.07% 8.69% 9.40% 10.23% 10.47% 11.88% 11.36% 12.16% 12.79% 13.57% 14.52% 15.14% 16.04% 16.31% 17.64% 18.27% 18.08% 19.13% 17.54% 20.85% 21.48% 21.94% 22.49% 23.13% 23.59% 24.04% 24.41% 24.77% 25.05% 25.23% 25.37% 25.46% 25.55% 25.64% 25.73% 25.83% 25.92% 26.01% 26.10% 26.20%

Optimistic 9.07% 8.69% 9.40% 10.23% 10.47% 11.88% 11.36% 12.16% 12.79% 13.57% 14.52% 15.14% 16.04% 16.31% 17.64% 18.27% 18.08% 19.13% 17.54% 20.85% 21.48% 21.94% 22.31% 22.67% 23.04% 23.40% 23.68% 23.96% 23.77% 23.49% 23.04% 22.58% 21.94% 21.12% 20.30% 19.56% 18.92% 18.28% 18.06% 17.72%

Vermont Baseline 8.34% 8.00% 8.65% 9.42% 9.63% 10.94% 10.46% 11.19% 11.77% 12.49% 13.36% 13.93% 14.76% 15.01% 16.23% 16.81% 16.64% 17.61% 18.94% 19.59% 20.19% 20.62% 21.13% 21.74% 22.17% 22.60% 22.94% 23.28% 23.54% 23.71% 23.84% 23.93% 24.01% 24.10% 24.18% 24.27% 24.36% 24.44% 24.53% 24.62%

Optimistic 8.34% 8.00% 8.65% 9.42% 9.63% 10.94% 10.46% 11.19% 11.77% 12.49% 13.36% 13.93% 14.76% 15.01% 16.23% 16.81% 16.64% 17.61% 18.94% 19.59% 20.19% 20.62% 20.96% 21.31% 21.65% 21.99% 22.25% 22.52% 22.34% 22.08% 21.65% 21.22% 20.62% 19.85% 19.07% 18.39% 17.78% 17.18% 16.97% 16.65%

Virginia Baseline 9.89% 9.48% 10.25% 11.16% 11.42% 12.96% 12.39% 13.26% 13.95% 14.80% 15.84% 16.51% 17.49% 17.79% 19.24% 19.92% 19.72% 20.87% 23.75% 21.71% 22.37% 22.84% 23.41% 24.08% 24.56% 25.03% 25.41% 25.79% 26.08% 26.27% 26.41% 26.51% 26.60% 26.70% 26.79% 26.89% 26.98% 27.08% 27.17% 27.28%

Optimistic 9.89% 9.48% 10.25% 11.16% 11.42% 12.96% 12.39% 13.26% 13.95% 14.80% 15.84% 16.51% 17.49% 17.79% 19.24% 19.92% 19.72% 20.87% 23.75% 21.71% 22.37% 22.84% 23.22% 23.60% 23.98% 24.37% 24.65% 24.95% 24.75% 24.46% 23.98% 23.51% 22.84% 21.99% 21.13% 20.37% 19.70% 19.04% 18.80% 18.45%

Washington Baseline 9.16% 8.78% 9.50% 10.34% 10.58% 12.01% 11.48% 12.29% 12.93% 13.72% 14.68% 15.30% 16.21% 16.49% 17.83% 18.46% 18.27% 19.34% 21.25% 21.73% 22.40% 22.87% 23.44% 24.11% 24.59% 25.06% 25.44% 25.83% 26.11% 26.30% 26.45% 26.54% 26.64% 26.73% 26.83% 26.92% 27.02% 27.11% 27.21% 27.31%

Optimistic 9.16% 8.78% 9.50% 10.34% 10.58% 12.01% 11.48% 12.29% 12.93% 13.72% 14.68% 15.30% 16.21% 16.49% 17.83% 18.46% 18.27% 19.34% 21.25% 21.73% 22.40% 22.87% 23.25% 23.63% 24.02% 24.40% 24.68% 24.98% 24.78% 24.49% 24.02% 23.54% 22.87% 22.01% 21.16% 20.39% 19.73% 19.06% 18.82% 18.47%

West Virginia Baseline 11.90% 11.40% 12.34% 13.43% 13.74% 15.60% 14.91% 15.96% 16.79% 17.81% 19.06% 19.87% 21.05% 21.41% 23.15% 23.97% 23.72% 25.11% 27.57% 27.68% 28.53% 29.13% 29.86% 30.71% 31.32% 31.92% 32.41% 32.90% 33.26% 33.50% 33.68% 33.81% 33.93% 34.05% 34.17% 34.29% 34.41% 34.53% 34.66% 34.79%

Optimistic 11.90% 11.40% 12.34% 13.43% 13.74% 15.60% 14.91% 15.96% 16.79% 17.81% 19.06% 19.87% 21.05% 21.41% 23.15% 23.97% 23.72% 25.11% 27.57% 27.68% 28.53% 29.13% 29.62% 30.10% 30.59% 31.08% 31.44% 31.82% 31.56% 31.20% 30.59% 29.98% 29.13% 28.04% 26.95% 25.98% 25.13% 24.28% 23.97% 23.52%

Wisconsin Baseline 10.62% 10.18% 11.01% 11.99% 12.26% 13.92% 13.31% 14.25% 14.98% 15.90% 17.01% 17.73% 18.79% 19.11% 20.66% 21.40% 21.18% 22.41% 21.60% 20.93% 21.57% 22.03% 22.58% 23.22% 23.68% 24.14% 24.51% 24.87% 25.15% 25.33% 25.47% 25.56% 25.65% 25.74% 25.84% 25.93% 26.02% 26.11% 26.20% 26.30%

Optimistic 10.62% 10.18% 11.01% 11.99% 12.26% 13.92% 13.31% 14.25% 14.98% 15.90% 17.01% 17.73% 18.79% 19.11% 20.66% 21.40% 21.18% 22.41% 21.60% 20.93% 21.57% 22.03% 22.39% 22.76% 23.13% 23.50% 23.77% 24.06% 23.86% 23.59% 23.13% 22.67% 22.03% 21.20% 20.38% 19.64% 19.00% 18.36% 18.13% 17.79%

Wyoming Baseline 9.32% 8.93% 9.67% 10.52% 10.76% 12.22% 11.68% 12.50% 13.15% 13.95% 14.93% 15.56% 16.49% 16.77% 18.13% 18.78% 18.59% 19.67% 19.51% 20.09% 20.70% 21.14% 21.67% 22.29% 22.73% 23.17% 23.52% 23.87% 24.14% 24.31% 24.44% 24.53% 24.62% 24.71% 24.80% 24.88% 24.97% 25.06% 25.15% 25.25%

Optimistic 9.32% 8.93% 9.67% 10.52% 10.76% 12.22% 11.68% 12.50% 13.15% 13.95% 14.93% 15.56% 16.49% 16.77% 18.13% 18.78% 18.59% 19.67% 19.51% 20.09% 20.70% 21.14% 21.49% 21.85% 22.20% 22.55% 22.81% 23.09% 22.90% 22.64% 22.20% 21.76% 21.14% 20.35% 19.56% 18.85% 18.23% 17.62% 17.40% 17.07%

Milken Institute analysis based on MEPS, NHIS, etc.
For more information refer to full report “An Unhealthy America: Economic Burden of Chronic Disease” or visit www.milkeninstitute.org